Tuesday, October 25, 2016

10-24-2016

Workout:

Week 7: Day 1
Warm Up: Jog, Jump Squats, Squat to Stands, Hollowbody rocks, Band Assisted external rotation

Back Squat, work up to 1x10 heavy, then 2x10 at 90%.  Heavier than last week.
(45, 125, 145, 165, 185, 205, 225, 215, 215) x 10 ea

Assisted Pistols 4x8

Cool Down

Reading:

I listened to more of "The Signal and the Noise".  I'm loving this book.  The author digs into the history of 538, the terrible inaccuracy of political forecasting, "Foxes" vs "Hedgehogs", the "moneyball era" in baseball and Pagota, the relative success of modern weather forecasting, and the immense challenge presented by predicting earthquakes.  It's fascinating so far.

Quick hits from the book (these may be slightly paraphrased):

- "A forecaster's job is to make the most accurate forecast possible.  The original sin of forecasting is to tweak or fudge the forecast in some way for an external reason."

- (on political forecasting) "Foxes consider a lot of different kinds of information and take them into account in their predictions.  Hedgehogs latch on to one major thing and use that as their primary source.  Hedgehogs make better TV "experts" due to flashy claims, but foxes are more often correct."

Notes:

I like how the book is grounded in data and approaches things in a probabilistic way.  I think viewing sports though this lens can offer some insights.  

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